Steve Budin Rating Sytem Opinions

[Royal_Flush]

The NFL regular season is just a few days away and the only handicapper that I will be following is Budin. I want to get your opinions on how to play his picks. Budin uses a 25-100 dime system. In 2007 he finished with a record of 24-11 for 685 dimes and in 2008 he finished with a record of 34-17 for 502 dimes. This is the way I bet on his games, if he had a 25 dime pick I played them for $250, 50 dime for $500 and 100 dime for $1000, so I ended up winning a little over $5000. Now this is what I'm trying to figure out, if I had played all of his picks for $500 I would have won $7650. Do you guys think it is better to play all of his picks for the same amount, or continue to follow his rating system? What would you guys do?

:toast:

 

[BetStriker]

sounds like your better off playing $500 per game based on past performance. However, we all know that past performances does not guarantee future results.

 

[mexican]

The next bet bets very much for that he comes from two defeats. And every that loses bet the double to the following one

sorry for my englesh

 

[ARGLSG]

The NFL regular season is just a few days away and the only handicapper that I will be following is Budin. I want to get your opinions on how to play his picks. Budin uses a 25-100 dime system. In 2007 he finished with a record of 24-11 for 685 dimes and in 2008 he finished with a record of 34-17 for 502 dimes. This is the way I bet on his games, if he had a 25 dime pick I played them for $250, 50 dime for $500 and 100 dime for $1000, so I ended up winning a little over $5000. Now this is what I'm trying to figure out, if I had played all of his picks for $500 I would have won $7650. Do you guys think it is better to play all of his picks for the same amount, or continue to follow his rating system? What would you guys do?

:toast:

By betting the same amount on every one of his picks, you'd be putting an absolute premium on winning percentage. However, in reality, winning percentage means very little in this game.

For example, say he happens to go 25-25 this year, and he alternates between 25 dimers and 100 dimers for every one of those bets. If you were to bet the same amount (e.g., $500) on every one of those, you'd finish down for the season [($500)(25) - ($550)(25) = -$1250]. However, if you were to bet $250 on the 25 dimers and $1000 on the 100 dimers, you'd finish well up for the season [($1000)(25) - ($275)(25) = $18,125]. (Assuming normal juice on every bet.)

Obviously this is an extreme example, because (a) I hope like hell he does better than .500 this season, and (b) he'd never alternate between 25 dimers and 100 dimers all the way through. However, it does illustrate the point that, in reality, how they rate their plays is much more imporant than their winning percentage.

It's a credit to him that his winning percentage is so high that this is a plausible way to go. But I do think the wise route is to stick to his system and size your bets accordingly.

 

[jcubs55]

he rates his plays the way he does for a reason, stick with the ratings

 

[eeks]

flat bet is the way to go, how do you feel if you have 4 games in one day 3 - 5 dimers and 1-25dimer and you go 3-1 for the day? guess which game is gonna lose?? you go 3-1 and your still down 10 dimes. Budin is around 66%-69% winners, so i would strongly suggest to flat bet. it is the safest way to go.

 

[Donkwin47]

The majority of his plays are 25 Dime plays, logically, which is why you would have made more betting a flat $500, because you would have floated more money. If you would have bet them all $250, you would have made $3825. His ratings are there for a reason, and they have held true over the first couple years of his releases, as the winnin percentage by play goes up with the dime rating.

Budin will be my handicapper this year, as last year, and the rest of my life, as he is by far and away the best, and I will be betting on an incrimental betting system, following the dimes, as this will ensure future success with his picks.

BOL this year, lets have a great one!

 

[Donkwin47]

flat bet is the way to go, how do you feel if you have 4 games in one day 3 - 5 dimers and 1-25dimer and you go 3-1 for the day? guess which game is gonna lose?? you go 3-1 and your still down 10 dimes. Budin is around 66%-69% winners, so i would strongly suggest to flat bet. it is the safest way to go.

Strongly disagree, Budin is one of the best in the buz at correctly rating his palys. Odds are he would never go 1-3, and he usually has one play per game day, twice I've seen him release 2 (2 NBA series releases, and then A baseball play and a basketball play), never 3. And if it ever happenned where he relased that many plays in 1 day (which it won't) it is most likely that the smallest plays would be the losers, if he didn't sweep.

Go with the ratings, they're more important than they seem, and are there for a reason.

 

[brewerfan003]

i'd go with the ratings and assist this forum by posting budin's plays in the threads
thanks,
bol

 

[mrmil0]

Anyone know Budin's record so far for CFB and NFL this year. I know it isn't too good.

 

[sheaven77]

Anyone know Budin's record so far for CFB and NFL this year. I know it isn't too good.

3-6 nfl i think

 

[mrmil0]

I like how he won't post this years record on the site and he just mixed his MLB records together for both years. Because I know he did lousy this year in MLB for a fact. I think he might want to hire some extra security for his big playoff party. Someone might be looking to crack a bottle over his head.

http://www.thesportsadvisors.com/content.aspx?modulename=BigGameParty

 

[Sportsrmylife]

I like how he won't post this years record on the site and he just mixed his MLB records together for both years. Because I know he did lousy this year in MLB for a fact. I think he might want to hire some extra security for his big playoff party. Someone might be looking to crack a bottle over his head.

http://www.thesportsadvisors.com/content.aspx?modulename=BigGameParty

people are going to be looking for langer at that party!

 

[mrmil0]

Somone should slip a couple hits of LSD in Lang's drink. Maybe he would grow a long beard and claimed to have seen the future of gambling.

 

[marksdolphins]

Anyone know Budin's record so far for CFB and NFL this year. I know it isn't too good.

W/L/P: 3/5/0
Win:Loss: 37.50%
Total Units: -42.50
Dime clients -42.50

his records be here all football season
find his name on this database
think hes fade material with these fake crews
http://betonepicks.com/results/

 

[keysersoze92]

W/L/P: 3/5/0
Win:Loss: 37.50%
Total Units: -42.50
Dime clients -42.50

his records be here all football season
find his name on this database
think hes fade material with these fake crews
http://betonepicks.com/results/

Budin's been consistent in football for as long as anyone can remember. If you want to fade him because of 5 bad weeks than go ahead.

 

[SayHeyKid]

Oh please. Steve Budin consistent?

I'm not saying he's fade material. Very few in this business are; most people give out coinflips like Budin. The man the foreward in his book written by Brandon Lang. Steve Budin is a complete and utter clown.